< .comment-link {margin-left:.6em;}

Massachusetts Liberal

Observations on politics, the media and life in Massachusetts and beyond from the left side of the road.

Tuesday, October 24, 2006

Chickens coming home to roost

While its too soon to say with complete assurance that Kerry Healey is toast, there has to be a lot of glum faces over at Skinhead Central.

The latest poll from Suffolk University and Channel 7 -- shows the lt gov 27 points behind her rival with two weeks to go. This was the poll that showed her only 13 points behind immediately after launching her fear and smear effort against Deval Patrick.

More interesting than the horse race number -- which is after all subject to 5 percent margin of error -- are the internals. Healey can't possibly be happy with the advice she has received (and accepted with relish).
  • Sixty-one percent of those surveyed said they were unlikely to vote for Healey because of the "tone" of the campaign. Healey has particularly criticized Patrick's record on crime.
  • In another question, 53 percent of those surveyed said that Patrick was not "soft on crime," compared to 26 percent who thought the former federal prosecutor would go easy on criminals. However, 24 percent of those who participated in the poll said that Healey was tough on crime, while 59 percent said she only talked tough.
Only talked tough. That's telling. That's probably why she has a 53 percent unfavorable. Not even Teddy Kennedy haters come out in those kind of numbers.

Add in the CBS4 Fast track poll which pegs the margin at 25 points, it don't look good for the Pride of Pride's Crossing.

As Jon Keller comments:
"Not only haven't they stripped a significant number of women away from Patrick, but Healey's once-formidable support among men seems to have collapsed. There are signs Patrick is closing the deal with white voters, and his lead among independents, a slim five percent just two weeks ago, has jumped up to 12 points. Just as we saw in the Democratic primary, negative attacks on Patrick just seem to bounce off him and stick to the attacker."
Coming on a day the Romney-Healey administration was caught up in a whopping Big Dig blunder they can't blame on Matt Amorello, you've got to wonder which think tanks the Healey folks are calling, asking if they need a career criminiologist.

But like Yogi said -- it ain't over until it's over.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

Links to this post:

Create a Link

<< Home