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Massachusetts Liberal

Observations on politics, the media and life in Massachusetts and beyond from the left side of the road.

Friday, January 21, 2011

Myth-ical matchups

If our Man Myth Romney were a betting man you could say he's placing a high-stakes wager on the 2012 campaign.

Romney's current stance of avoiding Tea Party activists gearing up for 2012 is a general election strategy that is betting not only the Tea Party but also the New Hampshire primary will not be important factors in the race for the White House.

I wouldn't want to have to cover those bets.

Skipping the Tea Party is a logical move for the man from Michigan-Massachusetts-Utah-New Hampshire-California. His shape-shifting on social positions -- not to mention his gymnastic contortions away from "Romneycare" -- are probably even more off-putting to the Tea Party true believers than the mainstream and the left.

If the Tea Party still has strength a year from now, he is dead to them. So why waste the effort. Ditto with New Hampshire, which has lost its lock grip on generating nominees, not to mention there would be a serious discount for the Mittster winning one of his home states.

But Romney is apparently as unimpressed as others are with the gathering GOP field and its collection of regional candidates like Tim Pawlenty, Mitch Daniels and Chris "I'm Going to Disney World" Christie. Those with the highest visibility -- Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin -- have the highest negatives and would be burnt toast in a general election.

That leaves Romney, with the name recognition and the cash, the Republican with the most realistic shot of knocking off Barack Obama in the fall. In times past, when the GOP named the first runner-up the next nominee, Myth would have been golden.

So Romney is attempting to marshal the strength to avoid his favorite campaign pastime, pandering to the flavor of the month, and establish a campaign that would be seen as the only viable alternative by a hopelessly tied up and messy convention.

Risky business. But 2012 does not figure to be a traditional year in Republican presidential politics.

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1 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Tea Party will be around, stronger than ever. Recent study from Northeastern, over a million immigrants have found work in the US from 2008 - 2010. Hammer home these types of stories and Obama is toast whether it's Mitt bringing it up or Bobby Jehndal.

January 21, 2011 12:17 PM  

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