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Massachusetts Liberal

Observations on politics, the media and life in Massachusetts and beyond from the left side of the road.

Friday, December 02, 2011

Scotto's problem

You thought the chill in the air was winter coming in? It may be the collective chill of the banking industry looking at a poll showing Elizabeth Warren already in a dead heat with Scott Brown.

The UMass Amherst online poll suffers from the same problems any voter survey has at this point in the electoral cycle -- there's way too much time to go. But what is significant here is time in the other direction: how quickly Warren has come from virtual anonymity to a very serious challenger in just a few months.

Brown and the GOP have certainly been aware of the potential and have been working to seed the debate with doubts. Just look at the words used by respondents to describe her:

The Brown is doing its best to work on the "socialist" epithet while trying to minimize the damage of Brown's support for the 1 percent's opposition to Barack Obama's call for an extension of payroll tax cuts.

Brown is clearly beholden to the financial services industry, just as Warren is its worst enemy. There will be millions in cash flowing into Massachusetts between now and next November as the showdown draws nearer.

Polls are always snapshots in time, But if bankers have any doubt about the appeal of Warren's message about her differences with Brown this rapid rise from obscurity to dead heat should eliminate them.

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Anonymous Anonymous said...

If it was < 300 people it doesn't seem worth menioning, let alone drawing any conclusions about trends. Just curious but how did this same outlet predict how Brown would do against Coakley back in the past?

December 02, 2011 12:12 PM  

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