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Massachusetts Liberal

Observations on politics, the media and life in Massachusetts and beyond from the left side of the road.

Tuesday, January 03, 2012

Great Expectations

You can win for losing. That's the political reality to keep in mind as the Great Straw Poll known as the Iowa caucuses kicks off the 2012 election season in earnest.

The presidential run-ups are unique in the ability to make or break candidates who defy conventional wisdom (no pun intended). Remember Eugene McCarthy's 1968 New Hampshire primary win? I didn't think so. But McCarthy beat conventional wisdom and the real winner, Lyndon Johnson, eventually dropped out.

What's fascinating about today's caucuses is the growing optimism of Mitt Romney in a race that polls show is within the the grasp of several people, including Rick Santorum who has come out of nowhere to become the latest Anyone But Mitt.

Since caucuses are particularly creatures of organizational turnout, the Romney forces no doubt feel comfortable in their numbers and their ability to get them to the caucus sites tonight.

But with polls showing Ron Paul, another well-organized candidate, within the margin of error and headlines touting a Santorum surge, you can assume there are at least a few sweaty palms in the Romney camp.

And given the fact that Romney has flirted with 25 percent support throughout the campaign, let's just say his margin for error can be a lot more hazardous.

But, as Sherlock Holmes would say, the game is afoot and its time for about 100,000 to 150,000 white, evangelical Christian rural Iowans to tell us what America is thinking.

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1 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

It's time for 100,000 to 150,000 white, evangelical Christian rural Iowan voters to tell us what they think, not what the rest of us think, and maybe even not what the state of Iowa thinks. They don't think for me, that's for certain.

January 03, 2012 9:22 AM  

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