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Massachusetts Liberal

Observations on politics, the media and life in Massachusetts and beyond from the left side of the road.

Saturday, June 02, 2012

Lies, damned lies and polls

She's up! She's down! She's OK. She's in trouble. If you know what will really happen in November's U.S. Senate race, please remain standing.

The polls on the Scott Brown-Elizabeth Warren Senate race are as solid as the numbers on whether Warren will be able to avoid primary battle against Marisa DeFranco in September -- and in turn whether that is a good or bad thing.

The only thing that is clear is that after five weeks of incessant coverage of her heritage and her past life by the media arm of the Republican Party, is that no one has an obvious advantage.

And that includes the widely popular incumbent whose radio commercial today proclaimed Celtics love.

Warren's glow has certainly been diminished by her inability to effectively answer and end the brouhaha over Indian heritage. And it has served the purpose of taking the spotlight off Brown's record as a Wall Street friend.

Time lost? Perhaps. But given the majorities in the most recent polls show the public unimpressed with Cherokeegate it, like everything else in this contest, is impossible to predict.

Today is the chance for Warren to shine -- particularly since the sun won't. With the Celtics off, her speech will likely lead newscasts tonight and tomorrow. A strong and stirring speech introducing her to many media consumers for the first time is crucial.

And while there is certainly truth that a primary test might be a good thing, a Warren team that has allowed a one-day story to morph into a five-week headache needs to prove itself. Convincing delegates to give Warren a clear shot is what Doug Rubin and company need to do to earn the right to put their feet up with a few cold ones tonight.

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Blogger TyrantII said...

John Kerry got ~650,000 more votes in 2008 than Brown did in 2010. John Kerry, while a long time senator, isn't exactly Loved like Teddy was.

Where does Brown find or flip 600,000 odd voters that would be key constituents of Warren? In a election year?

I have an inkling the methodology of the polling so far is help the media along in the rat race they so desperately want to cover.

While that could change with a very poor sowing in the debates, do we think that's going to really happen? Where's Scotty increase his constituency with such a poor and note-less stint in congress?

June 03, 2012 5:08 PM  

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