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Massachusetts Liberal

Observations on politics, the media and life in Massachusetts and beyond from the left side of the road.

Tuesday, May 07, 2013

Markeyed man

Ed Markey is trying to strangle the Gabriel Gomez campaign's financial pipeline. He may wind up strangling the life out of the Senate special election too.

The Democratic nominee continues to focus like a laser on Gomez's refusal to take the "People's Pledge" keeping special interest money out of their June 25th election.

Markey appeared live before Massachusetts reporters yesterday to reinforce the theme he first echoed on primary night -- that Karl Rove and the Koch brothers have their eye on buying the seat for the GOP newcomer:
"The people of Massachusetts have a right to know who is backing each of the two candidates, so they can make an ­informed judgment about the source of funding. That is key,” Markey said.
Gomez restricted his response to the friendly confines of Fox News:
“My opponent is effectively talking about everything but the economy and running a negative campaign.”
Why is Markey ignoring the economy -- fairly good in Massachusetts -- and other issues likely to appeal to Massachusetts voters?

Ask Nate Silver. The computer model that enabled Silver to correctly predict the outcome of the last two presidential elections may hold the key.

The model suggests Markey could win by a 15-point margin, quite a wider gap than the 4 percent lead he's said to hold in a PPP poll released last week. A major part of that model is a candidate's ability to raise cash from outside sources.
Of the 15-point lead that the fundamentals model assigns to Mr. Markey, eight points are attributable to his edge in public fund-raising.
That's because Gomez lent his campaign considerably more resources than he raised. And of the cash he did raise, more than half came from private equity investors like himself.

So for Markey, the task is simple: paint the virtually unknown Gomez as a 1 percenter with ties to the right wing attack machine. Think Mitt Romney, not Scott Brown.

There's a risk for Markey too, who is not well known beyond greater Boston and who could be open to an attack as an out-of-touch liberal who has spent his public life in Washington.

But the Democrats intent on not allowing Brown-like surge to develop believe the road to victory requires shifting the dynamic to the Massachusetts candidate who lost the Bay State by an even larger margin than Brown.

That of course could raise disgust levels among an electorate already voted out. Which in turn may reduce interest in the race to primary-like levels where a party's ability to pull its loyalists to the polls is the mark of success.

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1 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Republicans couldn't have picked a better candidate. Let's see, former Navy seal or someone who has been in the Washington cesspool for so many years. Was Markey there for ABSCAM ?, not sure I'll have to look it up, but it seems that long. Western Mass is ready to Go Gomez.

May 07, 2013 4:41 PM  

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